If you have been watching spot market prices you might say the price of oil is approaching $100 per barrel. However, as someone interested in economics I can assure you that the price of oil is far lower than it's cost.
Wait, how can the price of something be lower than it's cost?
Simple, there are often hidden costs attached to products, or the use or manufacture of those products, that are not reflected in the purchase price. For example, consider a can of Raid. It's price might only be several dollars, but there is an environmental cost which is hard to measure. If someone in your family eventually gets sick because of the chemicals, the hidden costs are astronomical.
Unfortunately, we all play this game of russian roulette every day. We burn gasoline every day, spewing exhaust, while we drive to and from work. We send people underground to dig for coal so that we can light our homes and watch television all day long. We generally buy agricultural products that have been grown with pesticides, chemical fertilizers and so forth.
Now, don't get me wrong. I'm not against technology and I don't regret advancements brought by science. That isn't where I'm going with this at all.
So, let me ask you again, what is the price of oil?
As well as the $100 per barrel, maybe less and maybe more, there are other costs we will be paying. Can you name one? Although it has become quite political in some areas, there is the potential cost of global warming to heap on top of this. To many people this cost is simply astronomical. You don't have to be an environut or even a tree hugger to understand that prices and costs are not equal.
Oil, especially cheap oil, with most of it's costs hidden from our view, is really the fuel that has allowed the world to flourish. Cheap and convenient, this portable energy has given us all a lot of freedom. We've become addicted to it, to the point that we can't even imagine a lifestyle that doesn't revolve around it. Until very recently, at least.
Finally, with oil becoming relatively expensive, we are beginning to seriously consider alternatives. It's about time!
It is getting harder and harder for large corporations, earning billions of dollars every year, to convince us that there are no cost effective alternatives. Wind power, solar power, bio-fuels, hybrid cars, LED light bulbs and other technologies are all starting to get serious attention. I'll say it again, it's about time!
Even if you are someone that has been swayed by the corporate sponsored messages that suggest global warming is a myth, surely you have to realize that clean alternatives to oil are a good thing? Surely the production of less chemical byproducts and the production of less gaseous waste is a good thing? You don't have to be a tree hugger to see this, do you?
If you aren't convinced by issues such as global warming, as many right wing people aren't, let me put the price of oil into terms that might reach you. What do you think is the source of funding for regimes in the Middle East? Nice going Einstein, depend on people that hate you and give them the money they need to wage war with you. No offence, but that is stupid. For you right wing folks who need a reason other than the environment, you can get to work calculating the costs of oil based on military costs, loss of life and strife in the world.
Anyway, with what might be good reasons to convince both left and right, let me get back on topic.
The price of oil, without even considering it's true total cost, is high enough to start changing the world for the better. There are hybrid cars appearing on the market. There are flexible solar panels being created by something similar to a giant inkjet printer. There are sources of ethanol other than corn. Not too long ago a white light LED was finally invented.
We have the technologies. People are starting to produce them in quantity. We are finally going to be able to buy them because they are priced competitively. This is what is known as a tipping point. Once we really start buying these products, so that economies of scale can be achieved, the prices will start dropping. Incredible amounts of money will be spent researching newer and better products as well as newer and better ways to manufacture them.
This new wave of green technologies will suddenly develop enough inertia to drive out the oil based technologies of today. Will it happen in five years, a decade, or a generation? I don't know the answer to that, but I will say it again, it's about time!